Intelligence, Security & Geopolitics

El Niño 2026 Global Food Security, Economic Disruption, Conflict Risk, and Migration Implications

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Authors: Santiago Sainz  ·  Álvaro Rodríguez DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21455665 Colophon and Institutional Notice El Niño 2026: Global Food Security, Economic Disruption, Conflict Risk, and Migration Implications. A Joint Strategic Assessment. Published by the International Sustainable Development Observatory (ISDO), Zaragoza, Spain. Registered under Spanish law; operating under the domain isdo.ch. Authors: Santiago Sainz, President and Head of the Economics & […]

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Inmigración Irregular del Sahel a España

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21157755 Inmigración Irregular: Del Sahel a España AUTOR: Álvaro Rodríguez PUBLICADO POR: International Sustainable Development Observatory (ISDO) . Security and Intelligence Department | isdo.ch ÁMBITO: Migración y seguridad FECHA: July 2, 2026 España cerró 2024 con 64.019 llegadas irregulares por vía marítima, la cifra más alta de su historia reciente, y se consolidó simultáneamente

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Mali y el Sahel – Inestabilidad regional, rutas migratorias y amenazas yihadistas. Implicaciones para España

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Autor: Alvaro Rodriguez DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20214903 Podcast on this Report: RESUMEN EJECUTIVO Malí atraviesa su peor crisis de seguridad en una década. La junta militar del general Assimi Goïta, apoyada por fuerzas paramilitares rusas (Africa Corps, sucesor de Wagner), no ha logrado contener el avance del JNIM —filial de Al-Qaeda y principal grupo terrorista del Sahel—

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Informe sobre inseguridad ciudadana en Zaragoza (2025)

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Autores: Álvaro Rogríguez y Alberto Rayego Podcast sobre este Informe: ÍNDICE 1.- RESUMEN EJECUTIVO 2.- INTRODUCCIÓN 3.- MARCO CONTEXTUAL 4.- ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO GENERAL DE DELITOS 5.- SECTORIZACIÓN POR DISTRITOS Y BARRIOS 6.- ANÁLISIS DE FACTORES CORRELACIONADOS 7.- PERCEPCIÓN CIUDADANA DE LA INSEGURIDAD 8.- PROPUESTAS DE MEJORA 9.- MODELO COMPSTAT PARA LA CIUDAD DE ZARAGOZA 10.-

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Analysis of maritime geopolitics on early 2026: The Red Sea Factor

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Authors: Álvaro Rodríguez, Santiago Sainz. Executive Summary The Red Sea crisis, triggered by Houthi attacks on commercial vessels since late 2023, has transformed one of the world’s most critical maritime corridors into a persistent geopolitical flashpoint. Despite a sharp reduction in attacks following ceasefire arrangements in 2025, traffic through the Red Sea and Suez Canal

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The Strategic Disruption by Houthi Forces in the Maritime Corridor of the Red Sea, Global Economic, Humanitarian and Security Implications (2025)

Economy, Diplomacy, Intelligence, Security & Geopolitics / /

Authors: Santiago Sainz, Álvaro Rodriguez Table of Contents Executive Summary The Red Sea, a critical maritime corridor facilitating 12% of global trade, has become a focal point of geopolitical and economic instability due to Houthi-led disruptions. Since 2015, the Houthi insurgency in Yemen, backed by Iran, has escalated its attacks on commercial shipping, targeting vessels

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